Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003940 0.004144 0.004353 0.004584 0.004832 0.005091 0.005382
2025-07-13 0.003589 0.003891 0.004215 0.004588 0.005008 0.005468 0.006012
2025-07-20 0.003411 0.003777 0.004179 0.004658 0.005215 0.005847 0.006625
2025-07-27 0.003212 0.003613 0.004064 0.004613 0.005269 0.006036 0.007009
2025-08-03 0.003056 0.003483 0.003973 0.004581 0.005326 0.006217 0.007381
2025-08-10 0.002920 0.003367 0.003887 0.004545 0.005367 0.006372 0.007720
2025-08-17 0.002860 0.003335 0.003897 0.004621 0.005544 0.006700 0.008290
2025-08-24 0.002762 0.003250 0.003837 0.004604 0.005598 0.006869 0.008659
2025-08-31 0.002666 0.003164 0.003769 0.004572 0.005629 0.007005 0.008985
2025-09-07 0.002566 0.003068 0.003685 0.004512 0.005618 0.007080 0.009226
2025-09-14 0.002473 0.002976 0.003601 0.004449 0.005596 0.007138 0.009444
2025-09-21 0.002417 0.002930 0.003573 0.004456 0.005669 0.007326 0.009855
2025-09-28 0.002302 0.002805 0.003440 0.004319 0.005539 0.007226 0.009840
2025-10-05 0.002251 0.002761 0.003412 0.004323 0.005605 0.007406 0.010254
2025-10-12 0.002228 0.002753 0.003428 0.004387 0.005756 0.007715 0.010883
2025-10-19 0.002165 0.002690 0.003371 0.004346 0.005754 0.007797 0.011159
2025-10-26 0.002111 0.002637 0.003324 0.004317 0.005768 0.007900 0.011474
2025-11-02 0.002059 0.002584 0.003275 0.004284 0.005772 0.007990 0.011769
2025-11-09 0.002046 0.002584 0.003299 0.004354 0.005932 0.008325 0.012496
2025-11-16 0.002004 0.002543 0.003264 0.004338 0.005962 0.008455 0.012880
2025-11-23 0.001959 0.002497 0.003222 0.004309 0.005969 0.008550 0.013205
2025-11-30 0.001908 0.002441 0.003163 0.004253 0.005933 0.008572 0.013402
2025-12-07 0.001858 0.002385 0.003104 0.004195 0.005889 0.008580 0.013571